Horn vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 0
SVH
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SVH
0 - 0
RAP
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
SVH
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SVH
2 - 0
SIM
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 4
SVH
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FAC
3 - 0
RAP
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SIM
0 - 0
FAC
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FAC
0 - 1
SVS
53%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 1
FAC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
FAC
3 - 0
NEU
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |