Hoofddorp vs Vitesse '22 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+267%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
4º
48
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoofddorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 4
AGB
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
1 - 2
SVH
8%
14%
78%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VVK
2 - 2
SVH
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 2
FWO
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse '22
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
0 - 2
SVH
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
4 - 1
ASS
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LSV
1 - 1
RKS
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |