Hoofddorp vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
4º
34
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoofddorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
KAM
3 - 1
SVH
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 2
FWO
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 3
SVH
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 1
LSV
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
AGB
2 - 1
FWO
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 1
DSO
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 2
FWO
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FWO
5 - 0
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
FWO
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |