Hillegom vs Assendelft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VSV
2 - 5
HIL
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HIL
2 - 3
PUR
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ZEE
2 - 1
HIL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
3 - 1
SOE
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HIL
1 - 1
DEM
39%
21%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
PUR
1 - 2
ASS
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ELI
2 - 1
ASS
73%
15%
13%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
ZEE
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 3
SOE
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |