Hillegom vs ROAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SVH
4 - 2
HIL
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HIL
2 - 3
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
KAM
4 - 0
HIL
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
HIL
2 - 3
ASS
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UIT
0 - 0
HIL
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 2
LSV
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
UIT
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SDZ
2 - 1
ROA
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AGB
6 - 0
ROA
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ROA
0 - 0
KAM
8%
15%
77%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +2 |