Hillegom vs ROAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HIL
1 - 5
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SVH
1 - 2
HIL
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HIL
3 - 2
UIT
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DSO
3 - 4
HIL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
HIL
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SDZ
0 - 0
ROA
84%
10%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROA
1 - 0
LEG
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VUC
0 - 0
ROA
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 1
VLI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |