Hillegom vs Vitesse '22 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+267%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
9º
48
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
2 - 0
HIL
5%
10%
85%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
AGB
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 2
KAM
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 4
HIL
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HIL
6 - 3
UIT
38%
24%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse '22
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
4 - 1
ASS
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LSV
1 - 1
RKS
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |