Hillegom vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
9º
34
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 2
HIL
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HIL
6 - 0
LSV
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
3 - 1
HIL
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 1
SDZ
66%
17%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UIT
1 - 1
HIL
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FWO
2 - 1
RKS
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 3
FWO
35%
23%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FWO
1 - 3
IVV
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LSV
0 - 3
FWO
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FWO
1 - 3
AGB
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |