Hillegom vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 1
HIL
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 4
AGB
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LSV
2 - 2
HIL
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 1
VVK
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DSO
2 - 2
HIL
25%
20%
54%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
FWO
6 - 1
LEG
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SDZ
0 - 4
FWO
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 2
UIT
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
FWO
5 - 1
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 3
FWO
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |