Hillegom vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JOS
4 - 1
HIL
71%
15%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HIL
1 - 1
ASS
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VSV
2 - 5
HIL
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HIL
2 - 3
PUR
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ZEE
2 - 1
HIL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 2
FWO
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FWO
1 - 1
SVH
80%
13%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUT
0 - 6
FWO
10%
15%
75%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FWO
3 - 0
VSV
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SOE
1 - 4
FWO
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |