Hillegom vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEM
4 - 0
HIL
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EDO
0 - 3
HIL
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HIL
2 - 1
ASS
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RKV
2 - 2
HIL
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
2 - 2
ELI
37%
21%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FWO
2 - 4
EDO
61%
19%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
FWO
32%
22%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FWO
4 - 2
ELI
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FWO
2 - 0
DEM
62%
19%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FWO
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |