Hillegom vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.9%
+4
3.9%
3-0
11.3%
+3
11.3%
2-0
24.2%
+2
24.2%
1-0
34.5%
+1
34.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
24.7%
0
24.7%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+71%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SDZ
2 - 3
HIL
35%
21%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 0
UIT
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 2
HIL
6%
11%
83%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
2 - 0
HIL
5%
10%
85%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 6
RIJ
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
4 - 1
BEN
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
DEZ
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOE
2 - 0
AFC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |