SV Hermersberg vs Basara Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hermersberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
TUS
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 1
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
OFF
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TSG
2 - 0
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TMA
2 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basara Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
STE
0 - 5
BAS
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
TUS
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TBJ
0 - 0
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
VHE
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BKA
0 - 2
BAS
34%
21%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |