HBC Heemstede vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
4º
1º
34
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBC Heemstede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
SVH
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVH
5 - 1
HIL
25%
20%
56%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 3
SVH
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
3 - 1
LSV
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
0 - 0
SVH
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FWO
3 - 1
UIT
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 4
FWO
4%
10%
86%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 5
HIL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
FWO
8%
14%
79%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |