HBC Heemstede vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
5º
54
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBC Heemstede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 5
SVH
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
PUR
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TER
2 - 0
SVH
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 1
SVH
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
BOL
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 4
SWI
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HED
2 - 4
AFC
48%
21%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 3
AFC
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HUI
3 - 1
AFC
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |