SV Frisia 03 vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
16º
16º
66
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Frisia 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 3
FRI
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 2
BOR
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
9 - 0
FRI
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
3 - 2
HUS
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GWS
2 - 1
FRI
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
6 - 3
PAN
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOD
3 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
UNI
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
BOR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |