SV Friedburg vs Union Edelweiß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
5º
4º
40
5º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Friedburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 2
SVF
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
4 - 0
URB
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OST
0 - 3
SVF
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 0
SVZ
63%
18%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STM
1 - 4
SVF
52%
20%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
SBL
62%
19%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GMU
1 - 2
UNI
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UMA
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
WEA
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
UNI
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |