Freistadt vs Gurten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freistadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
SVF
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SVF
0 - 1
WEL
25%
23%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
SVF
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SVF
3 - 1
BAD
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 0
SVF
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 0
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
GUR
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 0
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
0 - 3
GUR
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |