SV Fellbach vs FC 08 Villingen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
16º
15º
12
5º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
90% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Fellbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
5 - 2
SVF
56%
20%
23%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 2
RAV
41%
21%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 1
SVF
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
FC 08 Villingen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
FCV
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
FCV
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 1
RAV
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 0
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |