Estrella Papilon vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DAK
4 - 0
EST
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 7
BRI
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 1
NAC
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
RIV
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 3
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BUB
0 - 5
RIV
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 0
RIV
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |