Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 1
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 6
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DAK
4 - 1
EST
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 3
RIV
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FAM
3 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FAM
1 - 2
DAK
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 2
RCA
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
FAM
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SVU
0 - 4
FAM
16%
18%
66%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |