Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 7
DAK
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
27%
21%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
RIV
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
0 - 4
NAC
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 3
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 3
RCA
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
SVC
68%
17%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
FAM
3 - 1
SVE
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 6
FAM
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
FAM
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |