Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
RCA
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 2
EST
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
EST
21%
19%
60%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
SVC
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
46%
22%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
RIV
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 3
BUB
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 1
FAM
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 4
RCA
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
RCA
1 - 0
FAM
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |