Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 1
EST
54%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
SVT
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
DAK
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
EST
5 - 3
SVJ
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RCA
0 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FAM
1 - 0
SVJ
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
FAM
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
FAM
5 - 0
SVB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FAM
3 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FAM
1 - 2
RCA
44%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |