Estrella Papilon vs Jong Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RCA
0 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SVB
2 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 0
EST
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
EST
4 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
5 - 0
SVJ
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 1
SVT
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SVJ
1 - 5
RCA
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
SVJ
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 3
FAM
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |