Estrella Papilon vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
51.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
EST
1 - 6
RCA
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
EST
0 - 5
BRI
37%
22%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
FAM
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
DAK
4 - 1
FAM
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 3
DAK
44%
21%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
RCA
0 - 6
DAK
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
1 - 1
BRI
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |