Estrella Papilon vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
NAC
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
6 - 1
EST
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DAK
7 - 0
EST
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
6 - 2
BUB
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DAK
7 - 1
UFC
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 4
DAK
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
DAK
4 - 0
FAM
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
DAK
0 - 0
FAM
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 4
DAK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |