Estrella Papilon vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
FAM
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 1
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 6
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FAM
0 - 2
BRI
49%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
DAK
1 - 1
BRI
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BRI
0 - 0
RCA
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRI
4 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DAK
0 - 2
BRI
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |