Estrella Papilon vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
5º
5º
24
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
RCA
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DAK
4 - 2
EST
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ASF
5 - 1
EST
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 3
BRI
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
UFC
2 - 2
EST
14%
16%
71%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
NAC
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
RIV
62%
18%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
BRI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 2
BRI
12%
14%
75%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
ASF
48%
21%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |