Estrella Papilon vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
RCA
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 5
BRI
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 2
NAC
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 2
DAK
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
BRI
44%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
BUB
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 5
BRI
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |