Estrella Papilon vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RCA
2 - 2
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
SVC
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 0
SVC
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BUB
0 - 1
BRI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
DAK
0 - 1
BRI
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 3
RCA
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |