Estrella Papilon vs Deportivo Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 2
EST
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
DAK
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 5
EST
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
BRA
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
10 - 0
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
12 - 0
UFC
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 2
NAC
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
7 - 1
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |