Estrella Papilon vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DAK
7 - 0
EST
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
6 - 2
BUB
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
UFC
1 - 2
EST
7%
12%
81%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 3
FAM
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RCA
4 - 1
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
SVS
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 3
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
DAK
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
BUB
0 - 2
CAR
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |