Estrella Papilon vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EST
2 - 2
NAC
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 3
FAM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RCA
3 - 1
EST
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BUB
1 - 3
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
BRI
48%
20%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
RCA
50%
20%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DAK
2 - 1
CAR
55%
20%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAC
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |