SV Erlbach vs TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen analysis

SV Erlbach TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
26 ELO 18
-14% Tilt -11.2%
4203º General ELO ranking 40766º
177º Country ELO ranking 1777º
ELO win probability
74.6%
SV Erlbach
15.5%
Draw
9.9%
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
SV Erlbach
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.9%
Win probability
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

SV Erlbach
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Erlbach
SV Erlbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2018
ERL
SV Erlbach
1 - 2
TSV Grünwald
TSV
52%
22%
26%
27 24 3 0
03 Nov. 2018
SIM
ASCK Simbach
1 - 4
SV Erlbach
ERL
8%
16%
76%
26 11 15 +1
27 Oct. 2018
DJK
DJK Rosenheim
2 - 4
SV Erlbach
ERL
22%
24%
54%
26 18 8 0
21 Oct. 2018
ERL
SV Erlbach
2 - 0
Chiemgau Traunstein
CTR
58%
22%
20%
25 22 3 +1
13 Oct. 2018
LAN
Landshut
3 - 3
SV Erlbach
ERL
42%
25%
33%
26 24 2 -1

Matches

TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2018
WAS
TSV Wasserburg
1 - 0
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
TPF
85%
10%
5%
18 30 12 0
03 Nov. 2018
TPF
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
1 - 3
FC Töging
FCT
40%
23%
37%
19 20 1 -1
27 Oct. 2018
TPF
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
3 - 2
Bogen
BOG
22%
21%
58%
18 24 6 +1
20 Oct. 2018
ASD
ASV Dachau
1 - 0
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
TPF
72%
16%
12%
18 24 6 0
13 Oct. 2018
TPF
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
4 - 0
FC Moosinning
FCM
57%
21%
23%
18 16 2 0