SV Erlbach vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
13º
13º
46
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TSA
3 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ERL
1 - 2
LAN
29%
23%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KOT
0 - 0
ERL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ERL
1 - 1
FCG
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MEM
1 - 0
ERL
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
3 - 4
KIR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VRG
0 - 2
TSV
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
3 - 2
DEI
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DAC
4 - 1
TSV
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TSV
1 - 2
SCH
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |