SV Erlbach vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
9º
1º
45
8º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KIR
0 - 2
ERL
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERL
1 - 1
KOT
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 0
ERL
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ERL
2 - 1
TSA
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
186
2 - 0
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SON
0 - 2
RAI
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
KOT
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
1 - 0
SON
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
186
4 - 1
SON
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SON
1 - 4
DEI
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |