SV Erlbach vs Schalding-Heining analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
13º
13º
73
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
186
3 - 2
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ERL
2 - 0
TUR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ERL
0 - 1
TSV
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TSA
3 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ERL
1 - 2
LAN
29%
23%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 0
KIR
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VRG
0 - 4
SCH
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DEI
0 - 2
SCH
24%
21%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
DAC
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 5
SCH
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |