SV Erlbach vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
4º
20
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
KIR
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
ERL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 2
TUR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
ERL
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
SON
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
RAI
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ISM
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
5 - 1
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
RAI
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KIR
2 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |