SV Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
4º
52
5º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
ERL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 2
TUR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
ERL
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
SON
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
ERL
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 0
186
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 1
KIR
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
5 - 1
HEI
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 4
KIR
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KIR
2 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |