SV Erlbach vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
4 - 1
ERL
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 1
SCH
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VRG
3 - 0
ERL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 0
DAC
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 2
LAN
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 3
BOG
41%
23%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
HAH
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 2
BOG
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 1
RUH
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 1
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |