Drochtersen/Assel II vs MTV Dannenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drochtersen/Assel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SVD
0 - 2
MTL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SVD
7 - 1
TZE
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SVD
3 - 2
TSE
40%
23%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
3 - 0
SVD
56%
20%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 0
SVD
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MTV Dannenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MTV
1 - 2
TZE
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CUX
2 - 1
MTV
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ROT
7 - 0
MTV
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MEC
8 - 0
MTV
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 4
MTV
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |