Deutz vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+518%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FVE
2 - 4
SVD
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SVD
7 - 1
CRB
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VLR
5 - 3
SVD
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SVD
3 - 1
TOP
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SHN
1 - 5
SVD
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
SPF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PES
0 - 3
MER
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MER
4 - 2
TSL
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TMA
0 - 0
MER
32%
22%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
FVW
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |