Deutz vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MER
5 - 0
SVD
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
SVD
38%
21%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SVD
0 - 0
SHN
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
TOP
4 - 2
SVD
43%
21%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SVD
4 - 1
SVL
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPF
1 - 2
FVW
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PES
5 - 2
SPF
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SPF
1 - 1
TMA
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HRH
1 - 2
SPF
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPF
2 - 4
MER
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |