De Meer vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
85.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
14º
34
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVD
1 - 2
RKS
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
IVV
3 - 1
SVD
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 1
AGB
4%
10%
86%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VVK
2 - 1
SVD
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 11
SVH
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 5
HIL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
FWO
8%
14%
79%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IVV
0 - 1
FWO
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
3 - 2
LSV
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |