Dakota vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FAM
1 - 2
DAK
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DAK
0 - 2
BRI
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DAK
4 - 1
EST
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
DAK
2 - 2
RCA
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DAK
3 - 1
FAM
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 1
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 6
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DAK
4 - 1
EST
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 3
RIV
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
30%
21%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |