Dakota vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
DAK
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
DAK
1 - 1
BUB
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 1
DAK
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
RCA
3 - 0
DAK
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
DAK
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
RCA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
JTL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 4
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |