Dakota vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
DAK
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BUB
1 - 2
DAK
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
DAK
3 - 4
EST
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UFC
0 - 7
DAK
5%
11%
84%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | -16 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DAK
3 - 1
BUB
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 1
CAR
60%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 0
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
NAC
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAC
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +6 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAR
60%
18%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |