Britannia vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
6º
5º
14
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 4
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 3
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 4
RCA
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 4
BRI
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 4
DAK
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 4
UFC
91%
6%
3%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 0
FAM
47%
22%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UFC
4 - 4
RIV
10%
14%
77%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 3
FAM
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RCA
4 - 0
RIV
64%
18%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |