Britannia vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
6º
5º
11
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 2
BRI
10%
13%
77%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 2
RIV
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 4
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 3
NAC
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 4
RCA
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 1
FAM
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 2
ASF
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 0
FAM
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 5
DAK
38%
22%
39%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |